{"id":32387,"date":"2025-11-18T11:20:27","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T11:20:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lequotidien.mr\/?p=32387"},"modified":"2025-11-18T11:20:27","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T11:20:27","slug":"cedeao-mauritanie-un-protocole-statistique-ou-lart-de-maquiller-notre-deficit-de-donnees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lequotidien.mr\/?p=32387&lang=fr","title":{"rendered":"C\u00e9d\u00e9ao\u2013Mauritanie : un protocole statistique, ou l\u2019art de maquiller notre d\u00e9ficit de donn\u00e9es ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La Commission de la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao et la Mauritanie se sont f\u00e9licit\u00e9es, le 14 novembre dernier \u00e0 Nouakchott, de la finalisation d\u2019un m\u00e9morandum d\u2019entente destin\u00e9 \u00e0 \u00ab harmoniser \u00bb les statistiques en Afrique de l\u2019Ouest et du Centre. \u00c0 lire le communiqu\u00e9, l\u2019accord s\u2019inscrit dans le cadre du projet HISWACA, financ\u00e9 par la Banque mondiale, et pr\u00e9voit assistance technique, partage d\u2019exp\u00e9riences et participation de la Mauritanie aux initiatives r\u00e9gionales.<\/p>\n<p>Dit autrement : la Mauritanie vient d\u2019admettre qu\u2019elle ne ma\u00eetrise plus sa propre production statistique.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Un pays sans chiffres fiables : le secret le moins bien gard\u00e9 de Nouakchott<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Depuis des ann\u00e9es, les partenaires techniques et financiers pointent un probl\u00e8me fondamental : <strong>l\u2019\u00c9tat mauritanien ne sait pas compter<\/strong>, ou plut\u00f4t, il compte mal, peu, irr\u00e9guli\u00e8rement \u2014 et parfois politiquement.<\/p>\n<p>Les chiffres de population se contredisent d\u2019un minist\u00e8re \u00e0 l\u2019autre. Les donn\u00e9es sur la pauvret\u00e9 reposent sur des enqu\u00eates d\u00e9cennales. Les indicateurs agricoles sont transmis \u00e0 la main, souvent post\u00e9rieurs aux d\u00e9cisions d\u00e9j\u00e0 prises. Les statistiques des p\u00eaches, secteur vital, changent selon le rapporteur, l\u2019interlocuteur ou le moment politique.<\/p>\n<p>Il n\u2019est donc pas surprenant que la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao propose aujourd\u2019hui une \u00ab harmonisation \u00bb. Ce qu\u2019elle n\u2019\u00e9crit pas, mais que tout le monde comprend : <strong>la Mauritanie est la cha\u00eene la plus faible du dispositif r\u00e9gional de production statistique<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Un protocole\u2026 sans signature, mais d\u00e9j\u00e0 c\u00e9l\u00e9br\u00e9<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Fait intrigant : Le protocole a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00ab finalis\u00e9 \u00bb, \u00ab approuv\u00e9 \u00bb, \u00ab valid\u00e9 \u00bb \u2026 mais <strong>pas sign\u00e9<\/strong>. Il faudra attendre une date ult\u00e9rieure, \u00e0 annoncer \u00ab prochainement \u00bb. Dans le langage feutr\u00e9 des institutions, cela signifie g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement : <strong>que Nouakchott h\u00e9site<\/strong>, <strong>que le gouvernement veut mesurer le co\u00fbt politique<\/strong>, <strong>et que la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao patiente, tout en publiant un communiqu\u00e9 positif pour maintenir la pression diplomatique.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Pour un accord qui n\u2019engage pourtant que de la formation, de l\u2019assistance technique et des ateliers m\u00e9thodologiques, ce d\u00e9lai interroge.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Un ballet diplomatique qui dit plus que le communiqu\u00e9<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Durant sa mission, le Dr Kalilou Sylla, commissaire de la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao, a rencontr\u00e9 un panel entier de partenaires :<\/p>\n<p>ANSADE, notre agence statistique nationale ; le minist\u00e8re des Affaires \u00e9conomiques ; la FAO ; l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne ; la Banque mondiale.<\/p>\n<p>Ce d\u00e9fil\u00e9 en dit long sur les attentes \u2014 et sur les inqui\u00e9tudes. Car l\u2019harmonisation statistique n\u2019est pas un exercice technique : <strong>c\u2019est un acte de transparence<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Or, sur plusieurs dossiers sensibles \u2014 pauvret\u00e9, s\u00e9curit\u00e9 alimentaire, emploi des jeunes, p\u00eache artisanale, mines, gestion fonci\u00e8re \u2014 une production statistique plus rigoureuse risquerait d\u2019exposer des r\u00e9alit\u00e9s souvent att\u00e9nu\u00e9es dans les rapports officiels.<\/p>\n<p>Autrement dit : <strong>mieux compter, c\u2019est aussi r\u00e9v\u00e9ler ce qu\u2019on pr\u00e9f\u00e9rait cacher.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Ce que la Mauritanie gagne \u2014 et ce qu\u2019elle redoute<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3><strong>Ce que le gouvernement gagne : <\/strong>l\u2019acc\u00e8s \u00e0 un r\u00e9seau r\u00e9gional de m\u00e9thodes standardis\u00e9es ; un appui technique financ\u00e9 par la Banque mondiale ; la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019am\u00e9liorer ses indicateurs macro\u00e9conomiques aupr\u00e8s des bailleurs.<\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Ce qu\u2019il redoute : <\/strong>la perte de contr\u00f4le politique sur les chiffres sensibles, l\u2019obligation d\u2019aligner les statistiques sur les normes internationales, la fin des estimations \u00ab flexibles \u00bb qui permettent d\u2019ajuster les discours.<\/h3>\n<p>Ce protocole, s\u2019il est sign\u00e9 un jour, imposera une rigueur nouvelle.<br \/>\nEt cette rigueur aura des cons\u00e9quences : <strong>sur la politique sociale, sur la transparence budg\u00e9taire, sur la communication gouvernementale.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Un accord technique, un enjeu \u00e9minemment politique<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Sous son vernis technocratique, l\u2019accord C\u00e9d\u00e9ao\u2013Mauritanie est en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 une \u00e9preuve de cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 : La Mauritanie accepte-t-elle d\u2019ouvrir ses registres, ses enqu\u00eates, ses bases de donn\u00e9es ? Est-elle pr\u00eate \u00e0 ce que des indicateurs fiables r\u00e9v\u00e8lent les \u00e9carts entre discours et r\u00e9alit\u00e9 ? Souhaite-t-elle r\u00e9ellement int\u00e9grer un syst\u00e8me r\u00e9gional o\u00f9 la comparaison devient in\u00e9vitable ?<\/p>\n<p>Les statistiques ne sont jamais neutres. Elles disent ce que le pays veut \u2014 ou ne veut pas \u2014 montrer.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019harmonisation annonc\u00e9e est donc moins un chantier de donn\u00e9es qu\u2019un test de volont\u00e9 politique.<\/p>\n<h3>Pour l\u2019instant, la Mauritanie semble prudente.<\/h3>\n<p>Trop prudente.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Commission de la C\u00e9d\u00e9ao et la Mauritanie se sont f\u00e9licit\u00e9es, le 14 novembre dernier \u00e0 Nouakchott, de la finalisation d\u2019un m\u00e9morandum d\u2019entente destin\u00e9 \u00e0 \u00ab harmoniser \u00bb les statistiques en Afrique de l\u2019Ouest et du Centre. \u00c0 lire le communiqu\u00e9, l\u2019accord s\u2019inscrit dans le cadre du projet HISWACA, financ\u00e9 par la Banque mondiale, et&#8230;..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":32388,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,49],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualite","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>C\u00e9d\u00e9ao\u2013Mauritanie : un protocole statistique, ou l\u2019art de maquiller notre d\u00e9ficit de donn\u00e9es ? 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